You are looking at situations as they exist, and then calculating the odds of getting there, using that reasoning the answer will always be 1:<insert big number> against, for any such situation.Ã‚Â (note to self - I must retrieve my calculations on an individual existing to demonstrate this point).
Consider a simpler example, what are the odds of being dealt 4 aces straight up in stud poker? Are the odds any different than being dealt a 2(spades), 6(diamonds), jack(clubs), 9(clubs), 8(spades)?Ã‚Â Now should you substitute the earth for the 4 aces, or should it be the other hand?
The Debatinator what about cloudy or moonless nights?Ã‚Â
You know, someone, eventually, wins a lottery. That someone is rarely you and never I (I don't play lotteries--it's a tax on those who don't understand math). But, no matter who wins, someone does.
The Drake equation is used to determine the odds of intelligent life arising. According to even the most conservative estimates of the constants in the Drake equation indicate that intelligent life should appear somewhere else in the universe. It also indicates that the odds of any given star giving rise to life is ludicrously low. The fact that we haven't found life anywhere else but here indicates that the Drake equation is a good approximation, if not correct.
Unfathomable events happen all the time. A gentleman from Virginia by the name of Roy Sullivan has been struck by lightning 7 times. The odds of being struck by lightning in your lifetime are roughly 1 in 10,000. The odds of getting struck by lightning 7 times in your lifetime, are roughly 1 in 10,000^7 = 10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Now this is back-of-envelope calculating, so this is give or take some zeros, but not many.
You and I would say that the odds of getting struck seven times is more ludicrously unlikely than anything else. Yet it happened. Did God decide to continually torture a poor US park ranger? Or do things happen that, odds are, shouldn't?
You tell me.
Posts deleted: two posts were deleted because of attitudes projected and subject matter that we do not promote from either side about evolution. Evolution being promoted as something God did, makes evolution cross the line of becoming a religion, which starts another arguement which is a waste of time. I don't mind it mentioned, or even talked about. But when it starts getting compared to God's word, and how God used it, etc.... I consider that preaching. Here's where the rule is.